2134/4044
Yuen-Chong (Derek/Derrick) Wong
Yuen-Chong
Wong
David Pitfield
David
Pitfield
Robert E. Caves
Robert E.
Caves
A.J. Appleyard
A.J.
Appleyard
The development of a more risk-sensitive and flexible airport safety area strategy: Part II. Accident location analysis and airport risk assessment case studies
Loughborough University
2008
Aircraft accidents
Location
Models
Case studies
Runway End
Safety Areas
Built Environment and Design not elsewhere classified
2008-12-08 17:26:01
Journal contribution
https://repository.lboro.ac.uk/articles/journal_contribution/The_development_of_a_more_risk-sensitive_and_flexible_airport_safety_area_strategy_Part_II_Accident_location_analysis_and_airport_risk_assessment_case_studies/9442709
This two-part paper presents the development of an improved airport risk assessment
methodology aimed at assessing risks related to aircraft accidents at and in the
vicinity of airports and managing Airport Safety Areas (ASAs) as a risk mitigation
measure. The improved methodology is more quantitative, risk-sensitive, flexible
and transparent than standard risk assessment approaches. As such, it contributes to
the implementation of Safety Management Systems at airports, as stipulated by the
International Civil Aviation Organisation.
The second part of the paper presents the analysis of accident locations, including the
plotting of Complementary Cumulative Probability Distributions for the relevant
accident types. These were then used in conjunction with the improved accident
frequency models to produce Complementary Cumulative Frequency Distributions
that could be used to assess risks related to specific runways and determine Airport
Safety Area (ASA) dimensions necessary to meet a quantitative target level of safety.
The approach not only takes into account risk factors previously ignored by standard
risk assessments but also considers the operational and traffic characteristics of the
runway concerned. The use of the improved risk assessment technique and risk
management strategy using ASAs was also demonstrated in two case studies based on
New York LaGuardia Airport and Boca Raton Airport in Florida.