2134/23916
Ibrahim A. Motawa
Ibrahim A.
Motawa
Andrew Price
Andrew
Price
William D. Sher
William D.
Sher
Scenario planning for implementing construction innovation
Loughborough University
2017
Construction innovation
Decision making
Scenario planning
Built Environment and Design not elsewhere classified
2017-01-30 15:19:05
Conference contribution
https://repository.lboro.ac.uk/articles/conference_contribution/Scenario_planning_for_implementing_construction_innovation/9460088
Innovation within the highly fragmented construction industry operating within an uncertain environment requires further development for the traditional planning techniques. Uncertainty that cannot be resolved cannot affect the consequence of the decision analysis to implement innovations. However, improved perfonnance gained from adopting more innovative approaches requires commitment, uncertainties affected that innovations require flexibility to manipulate these uncertainties. This paper presents a modelling technique, currently under development, that simulates construction innovation implementation by their nature of experimentation, iteration and refinement activities. The proposed model targets balancing commitment and flexibility. This can be achieved by scenario planning designed to reflect the same prediction with different outcomes for uncertainties. Scenarios based on causality are suitable for rational reasoning processes, and mental models negotiation and expectations. The paper also discusses the main components of achieving successful scenario planning.