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INFORMS Tutorial 2018 - Montibeller Behavior in Policy Analysis - revised final.pdf (1.24 MB)

Behavioral challenges in policy analysis with conflicting objectives

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posted on 2019-11-18, 13:51 authored by Gilberto MontibellerGilberto Montibeller
Public policy problems are rife with conflicting objectives: efficiency versus fairness, technical criteria versus political goals, costs versus multiple benefits. Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis provides robust methodologies to support policy makers in making tough choices and in designing better policy options when considering these conflicting objectives. However, important behavioral challenges exist in developing these models: the use of expert judgments, whenever evidence is not available; the elicitation of preferences and priorities from policy makers and communities; and the effective management of group decision processes. The extensive developments in behavioral decision research, social psychology, facilitated decision modeling, and incomplete preference models shed light on how decision analysts should address these issues, so we can provide better decision support and develop high quality decision models. In this tutorial I discuss the main findings of these extensive, but rather fragmented, literatures providing a coherent and practical framework for managing behavioral issues, minimizing behavioral biases, and optimizing the quality of human judgments in policy analysis models with conflicting objectives. I illustrate these guidelines with policy analysis interventions that we have conducted over the last decade for several organizations, such as the World Health Organization (WHO), the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the UK Department of Environment Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA), the Malaria Consortium/USAID, the UK National Audit Office, among others.

History

School

  • Business and Economics

Department

  • Business

Published in

Recent Advances in Optimization and Modeling of Contemporary Problems

Pages

85 - 108

Publisher

Informs

Version

  • AM (Accepted Manuscript)

Rights holder

© Informs

Publisher statement

This paper was accepted for publication, the definitive published version is available at https://doi.org/10.1287/educ.2018.0182

Publication date

2018-10-19

Copyright date

2019

Notes

Presented at the INFORMS Annual Meeting, November 4–7, 2018

ISBN

9780990615323

Language

  • en

Editor(s)

Douglas Shier; Esma Gel; Lewis Ntaimo

Depositor

Prof Gilberto Montibeller. Deposit date: 15 November 2019

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