Measured internal temperatures in UK homes: a time series analysis and modelling approach

This paper presents an analysis of internal air temperatures measured hourly in the living rooms of 10 domestic buildings in the city of Leicester, UK. Time series analysis is used to develop empirical models of room temperatures in rooms that are neither mechanically heated nor cooled, during the summertime period of July and August 2009. The models are used in predicting future temperatures based on past measured values. Such models can enable overheating risk alerts for homeowners and public authorities to be more accurately estimated and targeted.