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The development of a more risk-sensitive and flexible airport safety area strategy: Part II. Accident location analysis and airport risk assessment case studies

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journal contribution
posted on 2008-12-08, 17:26 authored by Yuen-Chong (Derek/Derrick) Wong, David Pitfield, Robert E. Caves, A.J. Appleyard
This two-part paper presents the development of an improved airport risk assessment methodology aimed at assessing risks related to aircraft accidents at and in the vicinity of airports and managing Airport Safety Areas (ASAs) as a risk mitigation measure. The improved methodology is more quantitative, risk-sensitive, flexible and transparent than standard risk assessment approaches. As such, it contributes to the implementation of Safety Management Systems at airports, as stipulated by the International Civil Aviation Organisation. The second part of the paper presents the analysis of accident locations, including the plotting of Complementary Cumulative Probability Distributions for the relevant accident types. These were then used in conjunction with the improved accident frequency models to produce Complementary Cumulative Frequency Distributions that could be used to assess risks related to specific runways and determine Airport Safety Area (ASA) dimensions necessary to meet a quantitative target level of safety. The approach not only takes into account risk factors previously ignored by standard risk assessments but also considers the operational and traffic characteristics of the runway concerned. The use of the improved risk assessment technique and risk management strategy using ASAs was also demonstrated in two case studies based on New York LaGuardia Airport and Boca Raton Airport in Florida.

History

School

  • Architecture, Building and Civil Engineering

Citation

WONG, D.K.Y. ... et al, 2008. The development of a more risk-sensitive and flexible airport safety area strategy: Part II. Accident location analysis and airport risk assessment case studies. Safety Science, 47 (7), pp. 913-924

Publisher

© Elsevier

Version

  • AM (Accepted Manuscript)

Publication date

2008

Notes

This is a journal article. It was published in the journal, Safety Science [© Elsevier] and the definitive version is available at: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/09257535www.elsevier.com/locate/ssci

ISSN

0925-7535

Language

  • en

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