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Unconventional monetary policy reaction functions: evidence from the U.S.

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journal contribution
posted on 2019-10-04, 11:08 authored by Luca Agnello, Vitor CastroVitor Castro, Gilles Dufrénot, Fredj Jawadi, Ricardo Sousa
We specify unconventional monetary policy reaction functions for the Fed using linear and nonlinear econometric frameworks. We find that nonstandard policy measures are largely driven by the dynamics of inflation and the output gap, with the effect being particularly strong during QE rounds. Moreover, we uncover the presence of asymmetry and regime dependence in central bank's actions since the global financial crisis, especially concerning the response of the term spread and the shadow short rate to the growth rate of central bank reserves. From a policy perspective and given the lack of a systematic response of monetary policy to asset price growth in nonstandard times, our findings seem to corroborate the view that concerns about asset price bubbles, financial sector pro-cyclicality and systemic risk should be part of the macro-prudential policy toolkit.

Funding

National Funds of the FCT – Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology within the project "UID/ECO/03182/2019"

French National Research Agency grant ANR-17-EURE-0020

History

School

  • Business and Economics

Department

  • Economics

Published in

Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics

Volume

24

Issue

4

Pages

20180088

Publisher

De Gruyter

Version

  • VoR (Version of Record)

Rights holder

© Walter de Gruyter GmbH

Publisher statement

This paper is published in the journal Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics and is available at https://doi.org/10.1515/snde-2018-0088.

Acceptance date

2019-10-03

Publication date

2019-11-08

Copyright date

2019

ISSN

1558-3708

Language

  • en

Depositor

Dr Vitor Castro

Article number

20180088

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