Predicting the performance of teams in systems

The paper describes the development of a tool to predict the success of a team executing a system process. It is expected to be used by systems engineers in initial stages of systems design, when concepts are still fluid, including the team(s) who are expected to be operators within the system. Currently, the tool is undergoing verification and validation; to date, the tool predicts well and shows promise. An unexpected finding is that the tool creates an a priori case for Human Factors Integration in projects, to reduce the probability of substandard operational performance.