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Uncertainty considerations of indoor PV module calibration based on Monte Carlo simulations

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conference contribution
posted on 2013-10-31, 12:44 authored by Blagovest Mihaylov, Martin BlissMartin Bliss, Tom BettsTom Betts, Ralph Gottschalg
Uncertainties in the calibration of PV devices affect the power rating of modules and thus their value. The expanded measurement uncertainty in Pmax of modules at state-of-art indoor calibration facilities is between 1.6- 3.85% based on conventional Si technologies. The uncertainties of TF technologies are agreed to be higher. The contributions from different uncertainty sources are combined according to the GUM Uncertainty Framework. The Framework has the limitation of considering only the mean and standard deviation of symmetric distributions. This paper advocates the use of the Monte Carlo (MC) method for calculating the overall uncertainty of module calibration that is specific to the device-under-test and the measuring setup. Since the MC method retains all the information from the input quantities, more comprehensive probability density functions can be assigned to the main contributors. Recognised systematic effects can be accounted for by assigning asymmetric distributions to given contributions eliminating the need for correction. The use of the MC method for the total uncertainty calculation allows for a more detailed estimation of the input influences and their understanding and minimisation. In the simulated case study this led to reduction in uncertainty from ±2.5% in Isc to [+1.93%:-1.97%] for a 95% coverage interval.

History

School

  • Mechanical, Electrical and Manufacturing Engineering

Citation

MIHAYLOV, B.V. ... et al, 2013. Uncertainty considerations of indoor PV module calibration based on Monte Carlo simulations. EU PVSEC 2013, 28th European PV Solar Energy Conference, Paris, France, 30th September - 4th October 2013, pp.3536-3540.

Version

  • AM (Accepted Manuscript)

Publication date

2013

Notes

The definitive version is available on the the EU PVSEC Proceedings website http://www.eupvsec-proceedings.com/proceedings?paper=23295

ISBN

3936338337

ISSN

2196-100X

Language

  • en

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