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An empirical analysis of the impact of the credit default swap index market on large complex financial institutions

journal contribution
posted on 24.02.2017 by Giovanni Calice, Christos Ioannidis
This paper contributes to the primarily empirical literature by conducting the first extensive empirical analysis of the impact of the degree of co-movement in the main standardized credit default swap (CDS) indices on the group of large complex financial institutions (LCFIs). We attempt to account for the dynamics between banks' equity returns and most liquid CDS market indices, the investment grade 5-year CDX North America and the investment grade 5-year iTraxx Europe, through conditioning our analysis on the historical correlation between the variables. Our most important findings are threefold. First, we find that equity returns for all the LCFIs are negatively correlated to both the CDX and the iTraxx indices. Second, the CDX index is the dominant factor driving shocks across all the LCFIs and this effect is stronger for European than US banks. Third, the impact of CDS market volatility on the equity return volatility of LCFIs appears very pronounced, suggesting a transmission mechanism which results in the destabilisation of banks and a subsequent increase in their default risk. © 2012 Elsevier Inc.

History

School

  • Business and Economics

Department

  • Business

Published in

International Review of Financial Analysis

Volume

25

Pages

117 - 130

Citation

CALICE, G. and IOANNIDIS, C., 2012. An empirical analysis of the impact of the credit default swap index market on large complex financial institutions. International Review of Financial Analysis, 25, pp.117-130

Publisher

© Elsevier Inc.

Version

NA (Not Applicable or Unknown)

Publisher statement

This work is made available according to the conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0) licence. Full details of this licence are available at: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Publication date

2012

Notes

This paper is closed access.

ISSN

1057-5219

Language

en

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