Armstrong et al 2015 NHESS - Climate change adaptation frameworks - coastal Suffolk.pdf (2.26 MB)

Climate change adaptation frameworks: an evaluation of plans for coastal Suffolk, UK

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journal contribution
posted on 25.01.2016, 10:10 by Jennifer C. Armstrong, Robert Wilby, R.J. Nicholls
This paper asserts that three principal frameworks for climate change adaptation can be recognised in the literature: scenario-led (SL), vulnerability-led (VL) and decisioncentric (DC) frameworks. A criterion is developed to differentiate these frameworks in recent adaptation projects. The criterion features six key hallmarks as follows: (1) use of climate model information; (2) analysis of metrics/units; (3) socio-economic knowledge; (4) stakeholder engagement; (5) adaptation of implementation mechanisms; (6) tier of adaptation implementation. The paper then tests the validity of this approach using adaptation projects on the Suffolk coast, UK. Fourteen adaptation plans were identified in an online survey. They were analysed in relation to the hallmarks outlined above and assigned to an adaptation framework. The results show that while some adaptation plans are primarily SL, VL or DC, the majority are hybrid, showing a mixture of DC/VL and DC/SL characteristics. Interestingly, the SL/VL combination is not observed, perhaps because the DC framework is intermediate and attempts to overcome weaknesses of both SL and VL approaches. The majority (57 %) of adaptation projects generated a risk assessment or advice notes. Further development of this type of framework analysis would allow better guidance on approaches for organisations when implementing climate change adaptation initiatives, and other similar proactive long-term planning.

Funding

EPSRC is acknowledged for providing the funding for the research though the ARCC programme and the ARCoES project: EP/I035390/1.

History

School

  • Social Sciences

Department

  • Geography and Environment

Published in

Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences

Volume

15

Issue

11

Pages

2511 - 2524

Citation

ARMSTRONG, J.A., WILBY, R.L. and NICHOLLS, R.J., 2015. Climate change adaptation frameworks: An evaluation of plans for coastal Suffolk, UK. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 15(11), pp. 2511-2524.

Publisher

© The Authors. Published by Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union.

Version

VoR (Version of Record)

Publisher statement

This work is made available according to the conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported (CC BY 3.0) licence. Full details of this licence are available at: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

Publication date

2015

Notes

This is an Open Access Article. It is published by Copernicus Publications under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported Licence (CC BY). Full details of this licence are available at: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

ISSN

1561-8633

eISSN

1684-9981

Language

en

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