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A high-resolution daily global dataset of statistically downscaled CMIP6 models for climate impact analyses

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posted on 2025-03-19, 11:53 authored by Solomon Gebrechorkos, Julian Leyland, Louise Slater, Michel Wortmann, Philip J. Ashworth, Georgina L. Bennett, Richard Boothroyd, Hannah Cloke, Pauline Delorme, Helen Griffith, Richard Hardy, Laurence Hawker, Stuart McLelland, Jeffrey Neal, Andrew Nicholas, Andrew J Tatem, Ellie Vahidi, Dan ParsonsDan Parsons, Stephen E. Darby
A large number of historical simulations and future climate projections are available from Global Climate Models, but these are typically of coarse resolution, which limits their effectiveness for assessing local scale changes in climate and attendant impacts. Here, we use a novel statistical downscaling model capable of replicating extreme events, the Bias Correction Constructed Analogues with Quantile mapping reordering (BCCAQ), to downscale daily precipitation, air-temperature, maximum and minimum temperature, wind speed, air pressure, and relative humidity from 18 GCMs from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). BCCAQ is calibrated using high-resolution reference datasets and showed a good performance in removing bias from GCMs and reproducing extreme events. The globally downscaled data are available at the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (https://doi.org/10.5285/c107618f1db34801bb88a1e927b82317) for the historical (1981–2014) and future (2015–2100) periods at 0.25° resolution and at daily time step across three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP2-4.5, SSP5-3.4-OS and SSP5-8.5). This new climate dataset will be useful for assessing future changes and variability in climate and for driving high-resolution impact assessment models.

Funding

THE EVOLUTION OF GLOBAL FLOOD HAZARD AND RISK [EVOFLOOD]

Natural Environment Research Council

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History

School

  • Social Sciences and Humanities

Published in

Scientific Data

Volume

10

Issue

1

Publisher

Springer Nature

Version

  • VoR (Version of Record)

Rights holder

© The Author(s)

Publisher statement

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

Acceptance date

2023-08-31

Publication date

2023-09-11

Copyright date

2023

ISSN

2052-4463

eISSN

2052-4463

Language

  • en

Depositor

Mrs Gretta Cole, impersonating Prof Dan Parsons. Deposit date: 1 October 2024

Article number

611

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