A high‐performance Coupled Human and Natural Systems (CHANS) model for flood risk assessment and reduction
In recent years, flood risk in urban areas has been rapidly increasing due to unsustainable urban development, changes of hydrological processes and frequent occurrence of extreme weather events. Flood risk assessment should realistically take into account the complex interactions between human and natural systems to better inform risk management and improve resilience. In this study, we propose a novel Coupled Human And Natural Systems (CHANS) modeling framework to capture the intricate interactive human behaviors and flooding process at a high spatial resolution. The new CHANS modeling framework integrates a high‐performance hydrodynamic model with an agent‐based model to simulate the complex responses of individual households to the evolving flood conditions, leveraging the computing power of graphics processing units (GPUs) to achieve real‐time simulation. The framework is applied to reproduce the 2015 Desmond flood in the 2,500 km2 Eden Catchment in England, demonstrating its ability to predict interactive flood‐human dynamics and assess flood impact at the household‐level. The study also further explores the effectiveness of different flood risk management strategies, including the provision of early warning and distribution of sandbags, in mitigating flood impact. The new CHANS model potentially provides a useful tool for understanding short‐term human behaviors and their impact on flood risk during a flood event, which is important for the development of effective disaster risk management plans.
Funding
Chinese Scholarship Council: 201908060298
History
School
- Architecture, Building and Civil Engineering
- Loughborough University, London
Published in
Water Resources ResearchVolume
60Issue
7Publisher
American Geophysical Union (AGU) / WileyVersion
- VoR (Version of Record)
Rights holder
© The AuthorsPublisher statement
This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.Acceptance date
2024-06-14Publication date
2024-07-04Copyright date
2024ISSN
0043-1397eISSN
1944-7973Publisher version
Language
- en