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An empirical analysis of invalid voting in municipal elections

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posted on 2025-03-07, 16:29 authored by Vitor CastroVitor Castro, Rodrigo Martins, Sergio Sakurai

This paper examines blank and null voting in Brazilian mayoral elections using a large dataset covering 5,570 municipalities between 2000 and 2020. The study finds that more competitive elections reduce blank and null percentages, with re-election scenarios leading to more valid votes. Blank and particularly null voting are found to be more prevalent in municipalities where a second round is possible. Economic factors and age categories also contribute to determine unconventional voting patterns. The results also highlight important differences between blank and null voting patterns, and between more urban and rural areas, the later suggesting that more sophisticated voters tend to be less prone to invalidate the vote.

Funding

National Funds of the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology. Grant Numbers: UIDB/05037/2020, UID/ECO/03182/2020

History

School

  • Loughborough Business School

Published in

Kyklos

Publisher

Wiley

Version

  • VoR (Version of Record)

Rights holder

© The Author(s)

Publisher statement

This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Acceptance date

2024-10-04

Publication date

2024-11-11

Copyright date

2024

ISSN

0023-5962

eISSN

1467-6435

Language

  • en

Depositor

Dr Vitor Castro. Deposit date: 4 October 2024

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