posted on 2021-07-23, 08:01authored byGiovanni Calice, Ming-Tsung Lin
In this paper, we study a comprehensive set of risk premia of country equity returns for 45 countries over the sample period 2002 to 2018 in both a single and a multiple factor setting. Using a new three-pass estimation method for factor risk premia by Giglio and Xiu (2021), we find that several factors, including default risk, are also priced in country equity excess returns, controlled by the Fama–French 5-factor and Carhart model. Moreover, we apply a novel approach to investigate the multi-factor impact on country equity returns. We find that the multi-factor information, constructed from the first principal component of the statistically significant single factors, provides a consistent and stronger prediction of anomalies in country equity returns.
This paper was accepted for publication in the journal Journal of Empirical Finance and the definitive published version is available at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2021.07.003.