Financial markets’ shutdown and reaccess
journal contributionposted on 07.09.2017, 14:46 authored by Luca Agnello, Vitor CastroVitor Castro, Ricardo M. Sousa
We employ a discrete-time parametric duration model on a group of 121 countries over the period 1970-2011 and find that the probability of the end of financial markets’ shutdown and re-access falls as these events become longer. We also show that: (i) shutdown episodes are longer when economic prospects are poor and the degree of financial openness falls, the chief executive has been in office for long periods, and the country has a default history; and (ii) spells of re-access tend to be longer when economic growth improves and financial openness increases, there are neither government crises nor government instability, and the country did not default in the past.
Castro and Sousa acknowledge that this work was carried out within the funding with COMPETE reference nº POCI-01-0145-FEDER-006683, with the FCT/MEC's (Fundacao para a Ciencia e Tecnologia, I.P.) financial support through national funding and by the ERDF through the Operational Programme on "Competitiveness and Internationalization - COMPETE 2020" under the PT2020 Partnership Agreement.
- Business and Economics