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GC Insights: Open R-code to translate the co-occurrence natural hazards into impact on joint financial risk

journal contribution
posted on 2024-07-31, 14:02 authored by John HillierJohn Hillier, Adrian Champion, Tom Perkins, Freya Garry, Hannah Bloomfield

Hydro-meteorological hazard is often estimated by academic and public sector researchers using publicly funded climate models, whilst the ensuing risk quantification uses proprietary insurance sector models, which can inhibit the effective translation of risk-related environmental science into modified practice or policy. For co-occurring hazards, this work proposes as an interim solution open R-code that deploys a metric (i.e., inter-hazard correlation coefficient r) obtainable from scientific research, usable in practice without restricted data (climate or risk) being exposed. This tool is evaluated for a worked example that estimates the impact on joint financial risk at an annual 1-in-200 year level of wet and windy weather in the UK cooccurring rather than being independent, but the approach can be applied to other multi-hazards in various sectors (e.g. road, rail, telecommunications) now or in future climates.

Funding

ROBUST - Enabling better management of UK multi-hazard risk

Natural Environment Research Council

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Financial planning for natural disasters: the case of flooding risk in Central Java

Natural Environment Research Council

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History

School

  • Social Sciences and Humanities

Department

  • Geography and Environment

Published in

Geoscience Communication

Publisher

Copernicus Publications

Version

  • AM (Accepted Manuscript)

Rights holder

© Crown Copyright, Met Office

Publisher statement

The works published in this journal are distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. This licence does not affect the Crown copyright work, which is re-usable under the Open Government Licence (OGL). The Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License and the OGL are interoperable and do not conflict with, reduce or limit each other.

Acceptance date

2024-07-03

ISSN

2569-7102

eISSN

2569-7110

Language

  • en

Depositor

Dr John Hillier. Deposit date: 3 July 2024

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