Future of local passenger transport paper TASM - post referee round 3 comments 18 2 2015 clean shortened.pdf (339.8 kB)
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How a rapid modal convergence into a universal automated taxi service could be the future for local passenger transport

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journal contribution
posted on 25.02.2015, 12:48 by Marcus EnochMarcus Enoch
The world is changing rapidly. Yet a common assumption is that cars, buses and taxis will remain the dominant local passenger transport modes in the coming decades. This concept paper draws on literature sources and on discussions with industry stakeholders to look anew at the local passenger transport sector in the light of broader societal trends to suggest an alternative future, and to offer insights to practitioners and policy makers. The paper finds that the traditional modes of car, bus and taxi are slowly beginning to lose market share to intermediate modes such as shared taxis, lift sharing schemes, DRT services and car clubs whilst numerous technological and market trends are combining to accelerate this process of ‘modal convergence’. Taken together, these trends could revolutionise how we move about, with one possible outcome being the emergence of a single dominant passenger mode of an automated universal taxi system or dial-a-pod.



  • Architecture, Building and Civil Engineering

Published in

Technology Analysis & Strategic Management






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ENOCH, P., 2015. How a rapid modal convergence into a universal automated taxi service could be the future for local passenger transport. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 27(8), pp.910-924.


© Taylor and Francis


AM (Accepted Manuscript)

Publisher statement

This work is made available according to the conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0) licence. Full details of this licence are available at: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Publication date



This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Technology Analysis & Strategic Management on 26 Mar 2015, available online: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09537325.2015.1024646