Matthews et al 2022 WIRES CC - Latent heat must be visible in climate communications.pdf (3.19 MB)
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Latent heat must be visible in climate communications

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journal contribution
posted on 12.05.2022, 13:29 by Tom Matthews, Michael Byrne, Radley Horton, Conor Murphy, Roger Pielke, Colin Raymond, Peter Thorne, Robert WilbyRobert Wilby

Anthropogenic forcing is driving energy accumulation in the Earth system, including increases in the sensible heat content of the atmosphere, as measured by dry-bulb temperature—the metric that is almost universally used for communications about climate change. The atmosphere is also moistening, though, representing an accumulation of latent heat, which is partly concealed by dry-bulb temperature trends. We highlight that, consistent with basic theory, latent heat gains are outpacing sensible heat gains over about half of the Earth's surface. The difference is largest in the tropics, where global “hotspots” of total heat accumulation are located, and where regional disparities in heating rates are very poorly represented by dry-bulb temperatures. Including latent heat in climate-change metrics captures this heat accumulation and therefore improves adaptation-relevant understanding of the extreme humid heat and precipitation hazards that threaten these latitudes so acutely. For example, irrigation can lower peak dry-bulb temperatures, but amplify latent heat content by a larger margin, intensifying dangerous heat stress. Based on a review of the research literature, our Perspective therefore calls for routine use of equivalent temperature, a measure that expresses the combined sensible and latent heat content of the atmosphere in the familiar units of °C or K. We recognize that dry-bulb air temperature must remain a key indicator of the atmospheric state, not least for the many sectors that are sensitive to sensible heat transfer. However, we assert here that more widespread use of equivalent temperature could improve process understanding, public messaging, and adaptation to climate change.

History

School

  • Social Sciences and Humanities

Department

  • Geography and Environment

Published in

Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change (WIREs Climate Change)

Publisher

Wiley

Version

VoR (Version of Record)

Rights holder

© The Authors

Publisher statement

This is an Open Access Article. It is published by Wiley under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Licence (CC BY). Full details of this licence are available at: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Acceptance date

22/03/2022

Publication date

2022-04-14

Copyright date

2022

ISSN

1757-7780

eISSN

1757-7799

Language

en

Depositor

Prof Robert Leonard Wilby. Deposit date: 11 May 2022

Article number

e779