Migration_Welfare.pdf (668.21 kB)

Migration and welfare state spending

Download (668.21 kB)
journal contribution
posted on 15.10.2019 by Stuart N Soroka, Richard Johnston, Anthony Kevins, Keith Banting, Will Kymlicka
Is international migration a threat to the redistributive programmes of destination countries? Existing work is divided. This paper examines the manner and extent to which increases in immigration are related to welfare state retrenchment, drawing on data from 1970 to 2007. The paper makes three contributions: (1) it explores the impact of changes in immigration on social welfare policy over both the short and medium term; (2) it examines the possibility that immigration matters for spending not just directly, but indirectly, through changes in demographics and/or the labour force; and (3) by disaggregating data on social expenditure into subdomains (including unemployment, pensions, and the like), it tests the impact of immigration on different elements of the welfare state. Results suggest that increased immigration is indeed associated with smaller increases in spending. The major pathway is through impact on female labour force participation. The policy domains most affected are ones subject to moral hazard, or at least to rhetoric about moral hazard.

History

School

  • Social Sciences

Department

  • Politics and International Studies

Published in

European Political Science Review

Volume

8

Issue

2

Pages

173 - 194

Publisher

Cambridge University Press (CUP)

Version

AM (Accepted Manuscript)

Rights holder

© European Consortium for Political Research

Publisher statement

This article has been published in a revised form in European Political Science Review https://doi.org/10.1017/s1755773915000041. This version is published under a Creative Commons CC-BY-NC-ND. No commercial re-distribution or re-use allowed. Derivative works cannot be distributed. © European Consortium for Political Research.

Publication date

2015-03-03

Copyright date

2015

ISSN

1755-7739

eISSN

1755-7747

Language

en

Depositor

Dr Anthony Kevins

Exports

Logo branding

Categories

Exports