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Multi-hazard dependencies can increase or decrease risk

journal contribution
posted on 17.06.2020 by John Hillier, Tom Matthews, Robert Wilby, Conor Murphy
In risk analysis, it is recognised that hazards can often combine to worsen their joint impact, but impact data for a rail network show that hazards can also tend to be mutually exclusive at seasonal timescales. Ignoring this overestimates worst-case risk, so we therefore champion a broader view of risk from compound hazards.

Funding

INTER-ACTION - 'Defining how we can act together to manage insurable risk' : NE/R003297/1

History

School

  • Social Sciences

Department

  • Geography and Environment

Published in

Nature Climate Change

Volume

10

Pages

595 - 598

Publisher

Nature Research

Version

AM (Accepted Manuscript)

Rights holder

© The Authors

Publisher statement

This paper was accepted for publication in the journal Nature Climate Change and the definitive published version is available at https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0832-y.

Acceptance date

22/05/2020

Publication date

2020-06-30

Copyright date

2020

ISSN

1758-678X

eISSN

1758-6798

Language

en

Depositor

Dr John Hillier. Deposit date: 16 June 2020

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