Hillier_2020_Environ._Res._Lett._15_114013.pdf (1.26 MB)

Seasonal impact-based mapping of compound hazards

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journal contribution
posted on 05.10.2020, 12:44 by John Hillier, Richard S Dixon
Impact-based, seasonal mapping of compound hazards is proposed. It is pragmatic, identifies phenomena to drive the research agenda, produces outputs relevant to stakeholders, and could be applied to many hazards globally. Illustratively, flooding and wind damage can co-occur, worsening their joint impact, yet where wet and windy seasons combine has not yet been systematically mapped. Here, seasonal impact-based proxies for wintertime flooding and extreme wind are used to map, at 1x1° resolution, the association between these hazards across Europe within 600 years as realized in seasonal hindcast data. Paired areas of enhanced-suppressed correlation are identified (Scotland, Norway), and are shown to be created by orographically-enhanced rainfall (or shelter) from prevailing westerly storms. As the hazard metrics used are calibrated to losses, the maps are indicative of potential damage.

Funding

INTER-ACTION - 'Defining how we can act together to manage insurable risk'

Natural Environment Research Council

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History

School

  • Social Sciences and Humanities

Department

  • Geography and Environment

Published in

Environmental Research Letters

Volume

15

Issue

11

Publisher

IOP Publishing Ltd

Version

VoR (Version of Record)

Rights holder

© The Authors

Publisher statement

This is an Open Access Article. It is published by IOP under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Licence (CC BY 4.0). Full details of this licence are available at: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Acceptance date

28/09/2020

Publication date

2020-10-15

Copyright date

2020

ISSN

1748-9326

eISSN

1748-9326

Language

en

Depositor

Dr John Hillier. Deposit date: 5 October 2020

Article number

114013

Licence

Exports

Read the paper on the publisher website

Loughborough Publications

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