The bias of growth opportunity (BGO), measured as the difference between market and fundamental values of a firm's growth opportunity, has an ability to predict future stock returns. In the portfolio sort, downward-biased BGO firms earn higher returns than upward-biased ones, which is unexplained by the common asset pricing models. Cross-sectional regression results also confirm BGO's power in predicting stock returns. To explain the anomaly, we show that the BGO premium is more pronounced when investor sentiment is high or when limits-to-arbitrage is severe, which suggests that the (Formula presented.) is more likely to capture behavioural biases than systematic risk.
Funding
National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.71991473 and No.71671076)
This is the peer reviewed version of the following article: GONG, C.M. ... et al, 2022. The bias of growth opportunity. European Financial Management, 28 (4), pp.926-963, which has been published in final form at https://doi.org/10.1111/eufm.12323. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Use of Self-Archived Versions.