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The daily incidence of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest unexpectedly increases around New Year's Day in Japan

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posted on 2016-04-20, 15:45 authored by Kunihiko Takahashi, Hideyasu Shimadzu
Background: Over 100,000 patients are diagnosed every year as out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) cases in Japan and their number has continued to rise for the last decade, presenting a challenge for preventive public health research as well as emergency medical care. The purpose of this study was to identify whether there are any temporal patterns in daily OHCA presentations in Japan. Methods: Records of OHCA patients (n=701,651) transported by ambulance over the course of six years (1st January 2005 to 10th March 2011) in Japan were obtained from the All-Japan Utstein registry data of cardiopulmonary arrest patients. Time periods within which the incidence of OHCA significantly increased were identified by a temporal cluster detection test using scan statistics. The risk ratios of OHCA for the detected periods were calculated and adjusted according to a Poisson regression model accounting for effects of other factors. Results: The risk of OHCA significantly rises 1.3-1.6 times around New Year's Day in Japan. Conclusions: Our analysis revealed the increased daily incidence of OHCA around every New Year's Day in Japan.

Funding

HS acknowledges the European Research Council (project BioTIME 250189).

History

School

  • Science

Department

  • Mathematical Sciences

Published in

Resuscitation

Volume

96

Pages

156 - 162

Citation

TAKAHASHI, K. and SHIMADZU, H., 2015. The daily incidence of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest unexpectedly increases around New Year's Day in Japan. Resuscitation, 96, pp. 156 - 162.

Publisher

© Elsevier Ireland Ltd.

Version

  • AM (Accepted Manuscript)

Publisher statement

This work is made available according to the conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0) licence. Full details of this licence are available at: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Publication date

2015

Notes

This paper was accepted for publication in the journal Resuscitation and the definitive published version is available at http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resuscitation.2015.08.003

ISSN

0300-9572

eISSN

1873-1570

Language

  • en

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