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The drying up of Britain? A national estimate of changes in seasonal river flows from 11 Regional Climate Model simulations

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journal contribution
posted on 27.07.2016, 08:12 by Christel Prudhomme, Andrew R. Young, Glen Watts, Tracey Haxton, Sue M. Crooks, Jennifer Williamson, Helen N. Davies, Simon J. Dadson, Stuart Allen
As climate change may modify the hydrological cycle significantly, understanding the impact on river flow is important because it affects long-term water resources planning. Here, we describe a high-resolution British assessment of changes in river flows in the 2050s under 11 different realisations of HadRM3. In winter, river flows may either increase or decrease, with a wide range of possible decreases in summer flow. These results should encourage adaptation that copes with a broad range of future hydrological conditions. © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Funding

This work is part of project SC090016, funded jointly by the Natural Environment Research Council, the Environment Agency for England and Wales, the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra), and UK Water Industry Research.

History

School

  • Social Sciences

Department

  • Geography and Environment

Published in

Hydrological Processes

Volume

26

Issue

7

Pages

1115 - 1118

Citation

PRUDHOMME, C. ... et al., 2012. The drying up of Britain? A national estimate of changes in seasonal river flows from 11 Regional Climate Model simulations. Hydrological Processes, DOI: 10.1002/hyp.8434.

Publisher

© John Wiley & Sons

Version

AM (Accepted Manuscript)

Publisher statement

This work is made available according to the conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0) licence. Full details of this licence are available at: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Publication date

2012

Notes

This is the peer reviewed version of the following article: PRUDHOMME, C. ... et al., 2012. The drying up of Britain? A national estimate of changes in seasonal river flows from 11 Regional Climate Model simulations. Hydrological Processes, DOI: 10.1002/hyp.8434, which has been published in final form at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/hyp.8434. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Self-Archiving.

ISSN

0885-6087

eISSN

1099-1085

Language

en