Recent empirical evidence strongly points to the state-dependence of fiscal multipliers which are larger in recessions than in expansions. Yet, standard business cycle
models face great difficulty in producing such asymmetric fiscal policy effects. By incorporating endogenously binding collateral constraints into a medium scale DSGE model,
we find that fiscal effectiveness can vary substantially across the business cycle. The
key to our framework is the state-dependent nature of collateral constraints; binding
in bad times while slack in good times, amplifying the effectiveness of fiscal policy and
hence generating fiscal multipliers that are larger during recessions.
History
School
Business and Economics
Department
Economics
Published in
Economica
Volume
88
Issue
349
Pages
32 - 69
Citation
MCMANUS, R., OZKAN, G. and TRZECIAKIEWICZ, D., 2021. Why are fiscal multipliers asymmetric? The role of credit constraints. Economica, 88 (349), pp.32-69.
This is an Open Access Article. It is published by Wiley under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International Licence (CC BY-NC). Full details of this licence are available at: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/