Robertson_13221-Article Text-53654-1-10-20220117.pdf (147.03 kB)
Download file

Why we need more data before the next pandemic

Download (147.03 kB)
journal contribution
posted on 25.01.2022, 11:47 by Nigel Gilbert, Edmund Chattoe-Brown, Christopher Watts, Duncan RobertsonDuncan Robertson
Attempts to control the current pandemic through public health interventions have been driven by predictions based on modelling, thus bringing epidemiological models to the forefront of policy and public interest. It is almost inevitable that there will be further pandemics and controlling, suppressing and ameliorating their effects will undoubtedly involve the use of models. However, the accuracy and usefulness of models are highly de?pendent on the data that are used to calibrate and validate them. In this article, we consider the data needed by the two main types of epidemiological modelling (compartmental and agent-based) and the adequacy of the currently available data sources. We conclude that at present the data for epidemiological modelling of pandemics is seriously deficient and we make suggestions about how it would need to be improved. Finally, we argue that it is important to initiate efforts to collect appropriate data for modelling now, rather than waiting for the next pandemic.

Funding

Centre for the Evaluation of Complexity Across the Nexus (CECAN)

Economic and Social Research Council

Find out more...

History

School

  • Business and Economics

Department

  • Business

Published in

Sociologica

Volume

15

Issue

3

Pages

125-143

Publisher

Taylor & Francis (Routledge)

Version

VoR (Version of Record)

Rights holder

© the Authors

Publisher statement

This is an Open Access Article. It is published by Taylor and Francis under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 Unported Licence (CC BY). Full details of this licence are available at: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Acceptance date

13/12/2021

Publication date

2022-01-17

Copyright date

2021

ISSN

0038-027X

Language

en

Depositor

Dr Duncan Robertson. Deposit date: 24 January 2022

Usage metrics

Read the paper on the publisher website

Categories

Licence

Exports