Is the EU offloading future migration issues to the "southern neighbourhood"? Thinking environmental migration in relation to externalisation

This report, prepared for the Foresight project Migration and Global Environmental Change, aims to study an important factor that has the potential to affect environmentally induced migration (EIM) in the Mediterranean: the externalisation of migration control policies adopted at the European Union (EU) level. The main aim of the report is to explore the externalisation–EIM nexus in the southern Mediterranean region (specifically in North Africa). To this aim, possible areas of interaction between two processes will be discussed by providing insight about the tools of externalisation. Based on this discussion about EIM in the Mediterranean, four future scenarios will be outlined.