posted on 2012-03-23, 12:33authored byHakem Al Shaalan
With the increase in population and the scarcity of fresh water in the Middle East
desalination has taken an important role in the provision of water for everyday use and
for industrial purposes. Reverse osmosis water treatment process is of particular interest
as it is one of the key processes in a desalination plant. The modelling of this process
and the prediction of permeate flow is useful in better understanding the process. In the
present study, an artificial neural network based model was developed based on plant
data for the prediction of permeate flow performance.
Plant data was collected and a number of variables determined. Principal component
analysis was then carried and factor loadings obtained to identify the main variables.
Once the main input variables were obtained a statistical analysis of the data was done
in order to remove outliers present in the data. This was done because the presence of
outliers in data to be analysed using ANN models renders the models ineffective in
prediction of an output. Once the removal of outliers was done, the data was then
analysed using the developed model. 1081 sets of data were originally used with twelve
input variables. After principal component analysis was done the input variables were
reduced to five with one output variable. With the removal of outliers 981 sets of data
were obtained and these were then used in the model.
The model was able to predict the output accurately with r2 at 0.97. Key factors
determined from the process were that to obtain an optimum network one has to
consider the epoch size, the transfer function, the learning rate and finally the number of
nodes in the hidden layers. The number of hidden layers also had an effect on the
overall prediction of the data. It is also important when using ANN models to obtain the
correct input variables and to remove any outliers that are present in the data in order to
be able to predict the output. The use of plant data severely limited optimisation of the
process due to it already being heavily optimised.
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