SParry_THESIS_Complete_no_COO.pdf (15.99 MB)
Characterising hydrological drought termination as a basis for improved forecasting
thesis
posted on 2021-01-05, 14:27 authored by Simon ParryThe termination phase is an important and underappreciated component of drought. There are noteworthy examples of disruptive drought termination events from every continent, and interest has piqued in recent years following exceptional events in the UK (2012) and California (2016-17). Despite their significance, and partly owing to their complexity, various subjective definitions have emerged. This has been an obstacle to the systematic identification and characterisation of drought termination. Yet, without such catalogues it is difficult to analyse drivers and variability, or to develop approaches for forecasting based on historical precedence.
The goals of this thesis are to: (1) develop an objective procedure for identifying and characterising drought termination; (2) derive systematic chronologies of historical drought termination in river flow and groundwater level records in the UK; (3) understand the physical characteristics and processes of drought termination in the UK; and (4) explore approaches for forecasting the end of drought that capitalise on historical chronologies of drought termination. [Continues.]
History
School
- Social Sciences and Humanities
Department
- Geography and Environment
Publisher
Loughborough UniversityRights holder
© Simon ParryPublication date
2019Language
- en
Supervisor(s)
Rob Wilby ; Paul Wood ; Christel PrudhommeQualification name
- PhD
Qualification level
- Doctoral
This submission includes a signed certificate in addition to the thesis file(s)
- I have submitted a signed certificate