Decision-making and predictive aids in discrete multi-stage decision tasks

In this thesis an attempt is made to identify the capabilities and limitations of the human decision-maker in multi-stage decision tasks and to investigate and evaluate methods of aiding him, particularly with the use of on-line predictive displays. In multi-stage decision tasks, the decisions already made by the decision-maker affect the decision-situations he will subsequently face. This requires that experimental studies of such decision-making must present equivalent interactive decision situations. Although the necessary methodology for such studies is rather complicated, the results thereby obtained are more relevant to many real-life situations. [Continues.]