posted on 2010-10-25, 07:57authored byRima Kordogly
Financial ratios are key units of analysis in most quantitative financial research
including bankruptcy prediction, performance and efficiency analysis, mergers and
acquisitions, and credit ratings, amongst others. Since hundreds of ratios can be
computed using available financial data and given the substantial overlap in
information provided by many of these ratios, choosing amongst ratios has been a
significant issue facing practitioners and researchers. An important contribution of
the present thesis is to show that ratios can be arranged into groups where each group
describes a separate financial aspect or dimension of a given firm or industry. Then
by choosing representative ratios from each group, a small, yet comprehensive, set of
ratios can be identified and used for further analysis. Whilst a substantial part of the
financial ratio literature has focused on classifying financial ratios empirically and on
assessing the stability of the ratio groups over different periods and industries,
relatively little attention has been paid to the classifying of financial ratios of the
banking sector.
This study aims to explore the classification patterns of 56 financial ratios for
banks of different type, size and age. Using data from the Uniform Bank Performance
Report (UBPR), large samples of commercial, savings, and De Novo (newlychartered)
commercial banks were obtained for the period between 2001 and 2005,
inclusive. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was performed on a yearly basis to
classify the banks’ ratios after applying the inverse sinh transformation to enhance the
distributional properties of the data. The number of patterns were decided using
Parallel Analysis. The study also uses various methods including visual comparison,
correlation, congruency, and transformation analysis to assess the time series stability
and cross-sectional similarity of the identified ratio patterns.
The study identifies 13 or 14 ratio patterns for commercial banks and 10 or 11
ratio patterns for savings banks over the period on which the study is based. These
patterns are generally stable over time; yet, some dissimilarity was found between the
ratio patterns for the two types of banks – that is, the commercial and savings banks.
A certain degree of dissimilarity was also found between the financial patterns for
commercial banks belonging to different asset-size classes. Furthermore, four ratio
patterns were consistently identified for the De Novo commercial banks in the first
year of their operations. However, no evidence of convergence was found between
the ratio patterns of the De Novo commercial banks and the ratio patterns of the
incumbent (that is, long established) commercial banks.
The findings of this study bring useful insights particularly to researchers who
employ bank financial ratios in empirical analysis. Methodologically, this research
pioneers the application of the inverse sinh transformation and parallel analysis in the area of the ratio classification literature. Also, it contributes to the use of
transformation analysis as a factor comparison technique by deriving a significance
test for the outputs of this analysis. Moreover, this is the only large scale study to be
conducted on the classification patterns of bank financial ratios.